SCENARIO ANALYSIS OF IMPROVING THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY OF UZBEKISTAN’S ECONOMY UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18660507Keywords:
scenario analysis, energy efficiency of the economy, GDP energy intensity, multifactor analysis, structural transformation, digitalization of the economy, sustainable development, economic strategyAbstract
The article is devoted to the analysis of approaches to scenario forecasting of improving the energy efficiency
of Uzbekistan’s economy under conditions of external and internal uncertainty. The study examines methods of scenario
and multifactor analysis that make it possible to account for the combined influence of macroeconomic, technological,
and institutional factors on the dynamics of the energy intensity of gross domestic product. The paper substantiates the
expediency of transitioning from static assessments to multivariate development scenarios reflecting alternative trajectories
of economic growth and energy transformation. The practical significance of the research lies in the development of
analytical tools that contribute to informed decision-making in the field of energy and investment policy, as well as in
supporting the sustainable development of the economy.
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