IMPACT OF INFLATIONARY PROCESSES ON PROBLEM LOANS

IMPACT OF INFLATIONARY PROCESSES ON PROBLEM LOANS

Authors

  • Tojiyev Sardor Dilmurod ugli

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18334395

Keywords:

inflation, bad loans, real income, profitability, interest rates, loan portfolio quality, cash flow

Abstract

This article analyzes the impact of inflationary processes on the problem loans portfolio of commercial banks.
The study theoretically and practically highlights the relationship between inflation and the quality of the loan portfolio.
Statistical data on inflation indicators and the dynamics of problem loans were obtained and practically analyzed from a
special electronic website of the Central Bank of the Republic of Uzbekistan. It was also analyzed how the growth rate
of prices in the macroeconomic environment affects the solvency of borrowers, real interest rates, and the level of risk of
banks. At the same time, this article theoretically analyzes the direct and indirect impact of inflationary processes on the
loan portfolio of commercial banks of Uzbekistan, in particular, on the share of non-performing loans. At the same time,
recommendations have been developed aimed at ensuring the stability of the banking system

Author Biography

Tojiyev Sardor Dilmurod ugli

Tashkent applied sciences
University Assistant

References

Statistical Bulletins of the Central Bank of the Republic of Uzbekistan (2020-2025), source: www.cbu.uz;

Central Bank of the Republic of Uzbekistan “Information on problem loans of commercial banks” (as of 2020-2025),

source: www.cbu.uz;

Decree of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan dated January 28, 2022 No. UP-60 “On the Development

Strategy for 2022-2026.”

Ulmas Isakov “Factors Affecting Non-performing Loans: Empirical Evidence from Commercial Banks in Uzbekistan”

Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 8 (2), pp. 1-21.

Jonibek Rustamov “Trends and Patterns of Accumulation of Non-Performing Loans in the Banking Sector of Uzbekistan”

(2025), Journal of Eurasian Economies

Gelmanova, Z. S., Volokitina, I. Y., Saulsky, Y. N. (2021). Influence of inflation on the debt burden on credit and

borrower’s purchasing power. Impact factor. Economic Sciences. 31-35;

Bil A. V. The Influence of Macroeconomic Factors on the Level of Problem Loans in the Republic of Belarus and

Russia. - 2013.

“Main Directions of Monetary Policy” Monetary policy of the Central Bank of the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2024 and

-2026

Nikiforova, V. D., Kovalenko, A. V., & Nikiforov, A. A. (2019). Theoretical and practical aspects of the work of commercial

banks with problem loans. Scientific journal NIU ITMO. Series: Economics and Environmental Management, (3)

Ptashits, T. (2019). Modeling the influence of inflation on the level of non-refundable loans in commercial banks of

Cyprus. cyberleninka.ru. Economics and Business

Downloads

Published

2025-12-01

How to Cite

Tojiyev , S. (2025). IMPACT OF INFLATIONARY PROCESSES ON PROBLEM LOANS. Innovation Science and Technology, 1(12). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18334395
Loading...