THE INFLUENCE OF MACROECONOMIC AND INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN SOUTH-EAST ASIAN COUNTRIES

Authors

  • Ergasheva Bibi-Robiya World Economy and International Economic Relations Department, Tashkent State University of Economics
  • Maaz Ahmad World Economy and International Economic Relations Department, Tashkent State University of Economics
  • Kuldasheva Zebo World Economy and International Economic Relations Department, Tashkent State University of Economics

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17448275

Abstract

This research seeks to determine the factors affecting FDI inflows into a country, analyzing institutional variables
such as rule of law and political stability rating and macroeconomic and fnancial indicators such as inflation, interest
rates, and market capitalization of domestically listed companies. Utilizing panel data for 3 ASEAN countries (Malaysia,
Indonesia, Singapore), the study performed fxed OLS regression analysis using Stata 18.0, and the output model shows
a statistically signifcant explanatory power with R squared of 0.0604. Main fndings are inflation (p = 0.009), market
capitalization rate (p = 0.000), and interest rate (p = 0.003) have statistically signifcant positive effects on FDI, market
capitalization rate being the strongest one affecting FDI. While political stability and rule of law are theoretically signifcant,
the data shows weak influence of these variables on FDI. These results suggest that policymakers should prioritize
fnancial incentives and develop good fnancial infrastructure should they want to attract more FDI.



Keywords

FDI, political stability, rule of law, interest rate, market capitalization of domestic companies, inflation.

References

1. World Bank. (2020). World development indicators. https://data.worldbank.org

2. International Monetary Fund. (2021). World economic outlook: Global growth and investment flows. https://www.imf.

3. org

4. Sachs, J. D., Warner, A., Åslund, A., & Fischer, S. (1995). Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration.

5. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1995(1), 1–118. https://doi.org/10.2307/2534573

6. North, D. C. (1990). Institutions, institutional change and economic performance. Cambridge university press.

7. Sarmidi, T. Bahri, E. N. A., Nor, A. H. S. M., Nor, N. H. H. M.(2017). Foreign direct investment, fnancial development

8. and economic growth: a panel data analysis. Jurnal Pengurusan (UKM Journal of Management), 51(2017), 11-24.

9. https://doi.org/10.17576/pengurusan-2018-51-02

10. Le, A.N.N., Pham, H., Pham, D.T.N. et al. Political stability and foreign direct investment inflows in 25 Asia-Pacifc

11. countries: the moderating role of trade openness. Humanit Soc Sci Commun 10, 606 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1057/

12. s41599-023-02075-1

13. Bagheri, O., Khodadousti, M., Ghahrood, M. L., & Sadabadi, S. M. (2016). The effect of interest rate and inflation on

14. the net inflow of foreign direct investment in Iran and China. http://www.science-gate.com/IJAAS.html

15. OLANIYI, T. A., OYEDOKUN, G. E., & AJAYI, R. O. (2019). Tax policy incentives on foreign direct investment in

16. Nigeria. Fountain University Osogbo Journal of Management, 3(3). https://management.fountainjournals.com/index.

17. php/ojm/article/view/82/66

18. Ebiringa, O. T., & Emeh, Y. (2013). Determinants of foreign direct investment inflow: A focus on Nigeria. European

19. Journal of Business and Management, 5(24), 41-52. ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)

20. Nizam, I., & Hassan, Z. (2018). The impact of good governance of foreign direct investment inflows: a study on

21. the South Asia region. International Journal of Accounting and Business Management, 6(1), 66-79 DOI:10.24924/

22. ijabm/2018.04/v6

23. AFOLABI, L. O., & ABU BAKAR, N. A. (2016). Causal Link between Trade, Political Instability, FDI and Economic

24. Growth – Nigeria Evidence. Journal of Economics Library, 3(1), 100–110. https://doi.org/10.1453/jel.v3i1.635 https://

25. journals.econsciences.com/index.php/JEL/article/view/635/797

26. Rahman, A. K. M. A. (2024). Impact of account, transparency, and accountability indicators on economic growth: Evidence

27. from South Asian countries. Journal of Ekonomi, 6(2), 96-105. https://doi.org/10.58251/ekonomi.1514374

28. Alfaro, L., Chanda, A., Kalemli-Ozcan, Ş., & Sayek, S. (2010). Does foreign direct investment promote growth?

29. Exploring the role of fnancial markets on linkages. Journal of Development Economics, 91(2), 242–256. https://doi.

30. org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2009.09.004

31. Bruno, M., & Easterly, W. (1998). Inflation crises and long-run growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 41(1), 3–26.

32. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3932(97)00063-9

33. Busse, M., & Hefeker, C. (2007). Political risk, institutions and foreign direct investment. European Journal of Political

34. Economy, 23(2), 397–415. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2006.02.003

35. De Mooij, R. A., & Ederveen, S. (2008). Corporate tax elasticities: A reader’s guide to empirical fndings. Oxford Review

36. of Economic Policy, 24(4), 680–697. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grn033

37. Fischer, S. (1993). The role of macroeconomic factors in growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 32(3), 485–512.

38. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(93)90027-D

39. Globerman, S., & Shapiro, D. (2002). Global foreign direct investment flows: The role of governance infrastructure.

40. World Development, 30(11), 1899–1919. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(02)00110-9

41. Levine, R., & Zervos, S. (1998). Stock Markets, Banks, and Economic Growth. The American Economic Review, 88(3),

42. –558. http://www.jstor.org/stable/116848

43. Zahid, M. . (2018). Economic Misery, Exchange Rate, Interest Rate, and Foreign Direct Investment: Empirical Evidence

44. from Pakistan. Journal of Policy Options, 1(2), 81-95. https://resdojournals.com/index.php/jpo/article/view/34

Downloads

Published

2025-09-01

How to Cite

Ergasheva Bibi-Robiya, Maaz Ahmad, & Kuldasheva Zebo. (2025). THE INFLUENCE OF MACROECONOMIC AND INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN SOUTH-EAST ASIAN COUNTRIES. Innovation Science and Technology, 1(9), 116–122. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17448275
Vol. 1 No. 9 (2025): Innovation Science and Technology